Among competing hypotheses, the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected.
I have a professional contact, who loves to point out how hard she works. And she does work hard, too, emails from the early hours backing up her assertion that she spends most of the day at her PC.
But – it's a big one – she's hopelessly, haplessly inefficient. One of the reasons that she works so hard is that she has no concept of processes. And she rebuffs any suggestion that she might do things differently because she has always done things this way and therefore it is right.
And that impacts on me, as well as everyone who works with her. If I need information, she can't give it to me when I need it. She does everything strictly in the order that it comes up, with no view to time sensitivity, relative importance, knock-on effects, etc.
In short, if she worked less hard and was more receptive to the view that she might take a different tack, my life would be easier and her strong work ethic would be a source of admiration from me rather than frustration, noting her apparent assumption that she is doing things the only possible way.
I admire hard work where it is necessary or achieves a better result than a less industrious approach but I'm always wary of people who praise sweat for its own sake, when approaching a problem from a different angle might have been more effective.
So I am ready for brickbats from some quarters if I do not lavish unqualified praise on those who are working hard for a result on behalf of Celtic that they are highly unlikely to achieve.
And so we come to the hard-working people who are trying to pursue the aims of the now-infamous Resolution 12.
In short, Resolution 12 was put to the Celtic AGM and withdrawn because the majority shareholders indicated that they intended to vote it down. Had it been passed, it would have required the board to refer the Scottish Football Association's decision to submit Rangers' application to play in the Champions League to the UEFA Club Financial Control Body (CFCB) to examine what appeared to be a breach of the rules on Financial Fair Play.
Specifically, that, as Rangers had not paid their tax bill in 2011, they should not have been allowed to participate in any UEFA competition.
By all accounts, the main protagonists, notably “Auldheid” and “Brogan, Rogan, Trevino and Hogan” of Celtic Quick News fame put forward a carefully-researched proposal, backed by as much evidence and legal advice as could be reasonably available to them.
However, one of the notable things about AGMs in recent years has been that they are largely a charade, as far as fans being able to use their shareholdings to influence the direction of the club. Simply put, any policy that the directors and major shareholders dislike can be voted down.
So those proposing Resolution 12 had to rely on their carefully-researched case persuading the big hitters at the club that it was in their interests to act.
And that could only be based on another assumption – that those who wield power at Celtic Park view their interests and those of the club in the same way as the overwhelming majority of fans.
It is here that the pragmatism of their efforts can be called into question. CQN has long been the site most loudly banging the drum for the corporate “plan”, and Peter Lawwell's strategy for achieving it. And all the evidence to date seems to show that the Resolution 12 proponents maintain an unshakable faith in the integrity and good faith of those running the club.
With due respect to Auldheid and BRTH, that confidence is not universally shared amongst supporters.
The result is the now farcical situation whereby the Resolution 12 supporters, having invested years of effort in trying to pursue sporting integrity are defending a board that refuses to even request an investigation into the possibility that the club was cheated out of a chance to compete in the Champions League, and denied potential earnings of up to £15 million.
“In the intervening period of time, there have been numerous meetings and consistent correspondence between those shareholders and officials of Celtic PLC, all with a view to furthering the aims of Res 12, and there is no doubt that the Celtic board have played a full part in taking the resolution to where it now stands,” they have claimed, omitting to mention that “playing a full part” would have involved Celtic, as a member club, formally requesting action by the SFA, the absence of which would logically dictate that a formal complaint would be made to UEFA.
“Working together, the board and the shareholders have seen to it that formal letters of enquiry have been sent to the SFA, together with various pieces of documentation and supporting evidence.
“Through the shareholders’ lawyers, the SFA were asked to answer specific detailed questions in relation to their procedures, however the SFA responded by saying they would not answer any questions other than through the “member club” i.e. the board of Celtic PLC.”
Throughout the process, the board of Celtic PLC have consistently failed to exercise their rights as a member club, knowing full well that their refusal to act allowed the SFA the only get-out in a situation that was at best demonstrative of incompetence and at worst corruption.
Instead, the club have insisted that the shareholders should pursue any action.
It beggars belief that meetings where the club's representatives demonstrated verbal support that was inconsistent with their inaction should be seen as facilitating anything. The shareholders of any company are not required to act in the interests of the board; the case is quite the reverse.
For the CFCB to open an inquiry, its members would almost certainly have to consider that a group of minority shareholders, without authorisation from the board of directors of the club or any resolution passed at AGM were somehow legitimate stakeholders in representing the club.
There is little to support that position. Does anyone really imagine that UEFA would set a precedent of allowing any minority group with a handful of shares to precipitate the machinations of their investigative and disciplinary processes?
Theoretically, the CFCB could decide, unilaterally, to open a case but in the absence of a complaint from the allegedly aggrieved party, to do so would be a remarkable decision.
Which takes us back to assumptions and Occam's Razor, quoted at the top of this piece. When business people are reported to hold private views that are in direct conflict with their actions, it can be assumed that their actions are a more accurate indication of their intentions.
And when a club declines to take a complaint, where it appears that it has unfairly incurred a loss, it requires fewest assumptions to conclude that its representatives do not wish to have the outcome that such a complaint might bring about.
We could only speculate on their motives. But we can state with certainty that the club has not pursued its interests in this matter and infer why that might be.
In the meantime, the shareholders have been left to submit a complaint that the CFCB has no responsibility to consider and – crucially – resolve the entire matter before July 2016, when its own statute of limitations on this issue would run out.
In other words, the shareholders will almost certainly be rebuffed and the board will then say, “Sorry, but it's too late to do anything now.”
If that scenario comes to pass – and, in the absence of direct fan pressure on the board, it is difficult to see how it will be avoided – we will have been witness to one of the greatest betrayals in football history.
Of course, that last assertion would prove outrageous, if the board can be relied on to act in good faith, in pursuit of the club's best interests, fairness to its fans and sporting integrity.
Can we assume that to be the case?--
6 comments:
If celtic fc dont do this for its own fans well why should we buy season tickets and give p.lawell our money when he's took our club backwards that board aren't interested in the fans integrity has been toss out of football since the cheats got liquidated sfa trying to keep them in the spl before it changed spfl the sfa are only interested in getting them back to were they left off buy letting king and Murray back on newco board.if celtic fc stick up for that govan mob they cant sing for my money ill not be buying untill p.lawell comes out and says he's backing the fans and resolution 12 fans come before corruption tax dodgers cheats celtic dont let ur own fans down the corrupt sfa and cheats.hail hail
Completely agree - but I don't have much confidence that they'll do the right thing.
Unfortunately I have to agree with your assessment. I have absolutely no confidence that the board will back the Resolution 12 proponents by formally requesting an investigation by UEFA.
I also believe that they are grossly underestimating the strength of the fans feelings on this matter.
If no action is taken then season ticket sales will be the measure of the depth of the fans anger and disillusionment with the board. As a consequence they may reap the whirlwind with disaffected fanbase turning their back on the corruption that is Scottish football.
I've said it before and I'll say it again..This Celtic Board is if not more corrupt than the Sfa..I for one have now Cancelled my Celtic Pools..My Development Pools and I'm now about to cancel my Season Ticket for the 1st time in 38 years..Were being treated as shite by this Fat slob Liewwel and he ain't getting another penny of me..But in the end it won't matter a jot cause I'm only one person..It'll take more than me to show this fat pig how rong he is..Who's the more corrupt Celtic or Sevco..I know who my bet would be on..Spineless Bas---ds
I sometimes wonder if the PLC have been emboldened by the fact that they've been able to ride the storm several times, in the face of fan dissatisfaction.
“Thank-yous” to the fans in the form of discounts when there has been low demand for tickets, for example, smack of a PLC that thinks it can fire-fight any problem with a price reduction here, a few words of praise there and disingenuous platitudes for support in our hour of need.
But you can't fool all of the people all of the time.
There's no doubt that stron emotions are being stirred which, sadly, are being seen as old-fashioned by many of the PLD's supporters.
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